Showing posts with label Electoral College. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Electoral College. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 4, 2020

If Election 2020 Political Football Goes Into Overtime


 


As a political junkie, I have jested with friends and family that Presidential Elections are kind of a Superbowl for me.  Usually, the sturm und drang of a political campaign ends on election day.  In rare occasions, not so much.  Election 2000 stretched out through Thanksgiving that year due to the Florida recount. 


So when my beloved asked me how long would it be until we know who will be President next year, she was shocked when I suggested that it might be until January 4th.  What a fitting way to close out the annus horribilis of 2020.  I think that the field has been prepped for overtime in Political Fantasy Football resulting in a contested election scenario.


Granted, information may change by the hour, but on the evening after Election Day, the Democrat candidate Joseph Robinette Biden is thought to have 264 Electoral College votes, and Nevada is poised to surrender its six Electoral College votes, giving him a squeaker of a victory in the only metric which constitutionally matters.  Incumbent President Donald Trump is disputing an early call of Arizona’s 11 Electoral College votes.  


If Trump carries North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania (battleground states where he is leading) and Arizona then Trump would win 274 votes and be re-elected.  Notwithstanding an outright victory, the Trump campaign has vowed to litigate against many instances of alleged voting irregularities, canvassing violations and potential fraudulent ballots for unvetted late mail in votes. Trump’s legal team has vowed to fight these violations, possibly even petitioning the US Supreme Court. 


This has the potential to impact results in key battleground states like Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Arizona.   If there are substantial cases, this may take time to litigate, which may delay or sway the official reporting of results.   Regardless of judicial outcome, if these violations are compelling, they may sway the process.


To refresh our civics knowledge, we do NOT live in a democracy but a Republic.  So when one casts a vote on election day for President, you are actually not voting for a Presidential candidate per se, you are voting for a slate of electors who then votes for the winning candidate in each state in the Electoral College, the ultimate party school. That’s how it normally works.  But technically, according to Article II Section 1 Clause 2 of the US Constitution, the power to name electors lies with state legislatures.  




Note well, this is a state legislature’s responsibility under federalism, which does not include input from a state Governor.  It is important to note that several battleground states with alleged voting irregularities, like Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, have Republican majorities in their legislatures, despite having liberal Democrat Governors.   


It would be extraordinary, but not inconceivable, that Republican Legislatures may be convicted that voting irregularities which do not follow their legislation and would have be addressed when naming Electors for the Electoral College.  Obviously, Democrats would object to having their win overturned, so more than likely an alternative slate of Electors would attempt to be presented to the Electoral College.  And political mayhem ensues.


Presuming that the Constitution is followed, the legislature endorsed delegates would participate in the Electoral College vote on December 14th and that result would be sent to the US Senate. 


On January 3rd, the second duty of the Senate in the 117th Congress after their swearing in would be to ratify the Electoral College vote.  First vote decides the Vice President among the top two vote getters. Then the EC vote for President among the top three candidates. 


Normally, this is a pro forma vote and there is polite applause for whoever won the Election.  But in this scenario, Senators would challenge state slates of Electors.  This should be determined by a majority vote, with a tie being decided by the sitting Vice President (who is in office until January 20th).  If slates are thrown out and neither candidate gets a majority of Electors, then the contested election moves to the House of Representatives.


Even though Democrats have maintained their majority in the House, voting in a contested election is done by Representatives en banc via state.  Republicans have a 26 to 24 state majority in Congress, thus it would point to re-election of President Trump.  If there is not a majority of state delegations electing a President or Vice President by January 20th, then the Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA 11th) or whoever is Speaker of the House at that time,  Acting President until the succession is determined. 


 Historically, there have been a few contested elections. In 2000, the Florida recount was settled by a Supreme Court decision in favor of George W. Bush.



 While the 1960 Presidential election was not formally disputed, the popular vote was only decided by 0.14% in favor of John Kennedy.  It is said that if 10,000 votes switched in four states, Richard Nixon would have become President in 1961. There were allegations of shenanigans in Texas and Illinois.  Moreover, there were 14 unpledged delegates in Mississippi and Alabama cast for Harry F. Byrd.  But Nixon did not want to divide the country so he did not fight. 



The 1876 Presidential Election was a quintessential case of a contested election.  Democrat Samuel Tilden won the Popular Vote but there were difficulties in the  Electoral College.  One of Oregon’s Electors was deemed ineligible as he was an elected official.  But Florida, South Carolina and Louisiana had competing Electors as each party sent slates, amounting to 19 more unresolved Electors.   To resolve this matter, Congress adopted an informal agreement known as the Compromise of 1877 which gave all 20 unresolved electoral votes to Republican Rutherford B. Hayes, thereby making him President.  In exchange, the federal government under Hayes withdrew Reconstruction troops that had been propping up carpet bagging state governments in Florida, South Carolina and Louisiana.  





Prior to the 2020 Elections, Democrats ran an election war game of a close election.  In this simulation Democrat activist John Podesta refused to concede and extracted political promises by threatening that West Coast states, such as California, Oregon and Washington would leave the Union unless they got their way.   This obstinate political modus operandi seems to echo the extracted promises from the Compromise of 1877. 


A hypothetical overtime in political football seems pretty theoretical but strange things have happened in 2020. We may be suffering from the Chinese curse of “May you live in interesting times”, even without  Joe Biden assuming the Oval Office.

Friday, May 18, 2018

Senator Warren Deserves to Don a Civics Dunce Cap

Senator Elizabeth Warren is either a Civics dunce or a Democrat demagouge


During her recent remarks before the Cap Ideas Conference, Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) cited Hillary Clinton's loss in the 2016 Presidential race as a negative indication that America has a healthy democracy. 






It is astounding that a sitting Senator is either so ignorant to not know that the USA is a constitutional Republic with democratic suffrage and an Electoral College or that she is such a demagouge who will blur such distinctions for political advantage. 

Some deride Senator Warren as being Fauxcahontas for her questionable genealogical claims of being a Native American.  A more apt sobriquet may well be Sitting Bull.  

Nevertheless, for Senator Warren's democrat demogougery, the former Harvard Law professor deserves to don a Civics Dunce Cap.


Thursday, October 26, 2017

DNC Chair Tom Perez Reveals Himself as a Constitutional Dunce

DNC Chair Tom Perez Claims Constitution Does Not Require Electoral College

During a speech at the University of Indiana Law School, Democrat National Chairman Tom Perez claimed that the Constitution did not create the Electoral College.  

Progressives have tried to minimize President Trump's election by citing the fact that he did not win the popular vote. Be that as it may, that is inconsequential because Electoral College votes are allocated from each state based upon a winner take all (with the exception of Maine and Nebraska). In the 2016 Electoral College Vote,  Republican Donald Trump won with 304 Electoral College votes to Democrat Hillary Clinton with 227 votes with seven faithless electors (Two from Mr. Trump and five which should have gone to Mrs. Clinton).

As Mr. Perez graduated cum laud at Harvard Law and also earned a Masters Degree from Harvard's Kennedy School of Government, it is hard to believe that he did not know that the Electoral College was entrenched in Article II of the Constitution, and its methodology was modified by the Twelfth Amendment after the messy election of 1800 and also the Twenty-Third Amendment (1961) enfranchising DC in Presidential elections.  Perhaps in those Ivory Towers of Education, they look down at the Electoral College as just being a "party school".



The contemporary trend in legal studies, however, claims that the Constitution is a living document which can be changed to suit today's day and age.  Yet legitimate legal arguments can not ignore what is in plain text.  

A political propagandist once observed that: "If you tell a lie big enough and keep repeating it, people will eventually come to believe it ." Of course, most people do not like to be associated with the German Third Reich fascist political philosophy of Joseph Goebbels. 

Based on the DNC Chair's inaccurate assertion, Tom Perez proved himself to be a Constitutional Dunce and strongly indicated that he is just a party hack, trying to claim victory by any means necessary.

Tuesday, January 17, 2017

Taking the Tinseltown Rebellion to Task for Hypocritical Hyperventilation Over Trump's Inauguration

Ben Shaprio on Hollywood's Hypocritical Histrionics Over the Trump Inauguration



On January 20th, 2017, Donald Trump takes the Executive Oath of Office to become the 45th President of the United States.  Alas, some celebutards just cannot accept that he got the part.  There have been star studded appeal to deny the winner of the 2016 Presidential Election the rightly designated votes in the Electoral College.  Ironically, Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton (D-NY) lost more Electoral College votes from unfaithful delegates than President-Elect Donald Trump,  and he still won the Electoral College majority by 34 votes.

As the 114th Congress was called into session, Hollywood hypocrites released a histrionic plea to Congress to Obstruct  the Trump Administration from doing anything that denies "our core values as diverse Ameicans"-- whatever that meant.  




Was that intended to impede immigration reforms?  Are such illegal aliens politically considered "diverse Americans without papers".  Or was it a subtext to imply that Donald Trump will attack LGBTQQ? advances in civic society.  Pretty ironic to aim attacks at a Republican Presidential candidate who unfurled a Rainbow colored flag during a general election campaign event.

To mark the ascent of Donald Trump from being the real estate mogul host of the Celebrity Apprentice to the Oval Office, Variety published a protest photo op featuring CNN's communist commentator Van Jones, Michael Moore, Lena Dunham Chelsea Handler and Hamilton's Brandon Victor Dixon hiding behind an American flag.   In the The Daily Wire, Ben Shapiro gave this Tinseltown cohort have it.




No wonder Americans just get sick when they see covers like the one from Variety. Michael Moore posing with the flag – the same person who said that Trump supporters are “legal terrorists” but that actual terrorists are “Minutemen” – makes most Americans queasy. Treating Lena Dunham like a moral voice -- despite her ardent love for abortion and her overt bragging about masturbating next to her 11-year-old sister in bed – makes Americans nauseated. Acting as though Chelsea Handler – a woman who said she should be applauded for her two abortions – as a beacon of light is disgusting.

Since Donald Trump's election on November 8th, the progressive mind seems to be melting down.  Some may find solace in a last gasp Women's March protest the day after the Inauguration.  Other more anarchistic elements may seek to disrupt the peaceful transition of power which has happened in America for the last 220 years.  But it seems that celebutards think that they can pompously parade their progressive philosophy and the hoi polloi will eat it up, even though it is liberal logorrhrea.

I second Ben Shapiro's call for Hollywood to keep it up as it builds off of Mark Twain's wisdom: "It is better to keep your mouth closed and let people thing that you are a fool than open your mouth and remove all doubt."  

H/T: The Daily Wire